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Red Hat's number one

Microsoft will get the headlines tomorrow with the release of Windows 7, but on the server side of life, Red Hat is quietly becoming the dominant player. Don't think that Microsoft doesn't know that. I find it fascinating just how many of Windows 7's best business networking features, like DirectAccess and BranchCache, require you to also have Server 2008 R2.

While Microsoft, as always, wants to tie down your desktop, laptop and server to Windows, Red Hat is continuing to show that an open-source, open-standards Linux server company can deliver the IT goods to business customers. Besides owning the lion's share of the Linux server market, Linux's overall share of the server market continues to grow. According to the latest IDC Worldwide Quarterly Server Tracker numbers, despite the fact that everyone in the server biz's revenue is taking a hit, Linux server revenue actually continues to grow. It's now up to 13.8% of all server revenue — which, in practice, means that Red Hat is continuing to gain on Windows' server revenue lead.

You don't have to take my or IDC's word for it. The stock market agrees. On October 19th, 2009, at the end of the NASDAQ day, Red Hat's share price was $28.46 with Microsoft lagging behind it at $26.36. Yes, that's right. Red Hat's shares were worth more than Microsoft.

Anyone still think you can't make money from open-source?

So why do people turn to Red Hat? As it happens, the 2009 "CIO Insight Vendor Value" study, which polls IT executives on the overall value they see from their vendors, just came out, and it answers the question nicely.

More than 650 IT executives agreed that Red Hat's software and services' overall value was outstanding. Red Hat tied with Google for the top spot. This, by the by, was the fifth time that Red Hat had claimed at least a share of the number one spot.

CIOs aren't loving Red Hat because they think Linux is cool or Windows is evil, CIOs are buying Red Hat because they see it as delivering reliability and value. And bottom line time, Red Hat Enterprise Linux and related products meet their expectations for increasing revenues and lowering costs.

As Jim Whitehurst, Red Hat's president and CEO, explained in a statement, "In light of the current economic climate, Red Hat is well-positioned to address our customers' needs with high-quality solutions that deliver performance, reliability and scalability -- all offered at a price that helps the bottom line. As the trusted leading provider of open source solutions we aim to respond to customer demand with our proven value proposition."

And what do CIOs make of Microsoft's offering? They rate the boys from Redmond and their goodies at #6. Microsoft had better hope that their paired offering of Windows 7 and Server 2008 R2 is pretty darn compelling; otherwise, their combined cost is going to make sure that Red Hat stays number one as far as businesses are concerned.

What People Are Saying

Single share price argument

First, I am a avid GNU/Linux user for past 8 years, but there is no denying the fact that Steven is trying to make some sort of argument here by saying that Microsoft is trading at lower price than Redhat. Anyone who understands little bit of Share markets will know, how utter crap this argument is.

For example since Microsoft went public they split their shares about 8 times (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/262875.stm). In above article BBC reports, Microsoft's shares were being traded at $162 before the split and that article is dated January 1999. In a nutshell, you can't compare single share price of two different equities and make some argument.

A Lot of Misunderstanding

Steven continues to be a lighting rod here.

I see a lot of you misunderstanding the whole point here.

Steven isn't saying that Red Hat is valued more by the Stock Market than Microsoft is. He is saying that Red Hat shares are going up, while the Microsoft share price is going down.

What this means is that if you own stock, your Microsoft shares are losing you money, while your Red Hat shares are making you money. The reason for that is presumably that Red Hat is making money or increasing in value, while Microsoft is losing money or value.

He posits that the reason for this is that the C level executives out there are buying into Red Hat's value proposition. He quotes a survey to back that up.

For me, what is so scary is that a lot of these comments who claim to be from 'C' level exec's are still in the "Nobody ever got fired for buying..." camp. Did you ever hear of the London Stock Exchange?

That kind of thinking only makes sense if you are a Microsoft employee.

It's only an uninformed opinion of mine, but judging by the comments I see here, the recession isn't over. Several of your companies are going to be down the tubes soon.

I hope for all our sakes that you "C level" folks are not really in charge, because if you are, the USA is toast.

Picking the most expensive least performing solution is not a good way to run a business.

Microsoft doesn't make the best of anything. They don't even want to. They try make an adequate product, then market like crazy. If an adequate product is good enough for your business, and you can get it cheaply enough, then Microsoft is right for you.

If you need quality, then you should not settle for a Microsoft product.

If you need hand holding, then Red Hat or Novell might be good choices.

If you need high reliability, then you are talking very expensive hardware, and you may need to be using IBM or Sun type hardware. Software with that will be just a minor expense.

Maybe you never got fired for accepting a slick sales pitch, but some of you should have been.

Boy, I'm glad you came to SJVN's Rescue

He sure needed it, except you show the same lack of understanding about business that he does.

What's even better is that you defend him by ignoring all the lies and just arrogant mistakes he made. You follow right along and just dig a deeper pit.

SJVN is a big boy and doesn't need someone to hold his hand. He does need to check his facts and at least write something halfway accurate.

Ya know, that claim of more than 650 execs supporting Red Hat sure is funny. Since only 650 participated in the survey, only 85% voted for Red Hat.

His comments about the stock price were designed to deceive, or to show his complete incompetence. Which is it?? Lies or incompetence?

Personally, I don't think he's smart enough to lie and get away with it. That's seems to be his excuse.

What's your excuse? Just wondering why you think he needs defending. Can't he do it himself?

HA HA HA

Look up the study before you make ignorant remarks. 650 CIO did vote for redhat as the number 1 vendor. Each CIO was asked to stack rank each vendor, and 85% picked Red Hat #1. In order for the company to hold that place then the other 15% would have had to have voted for Red Hat on avg 3rd. I would say that is pretty impressive.

"except you show the same

"except you show the same lack of understanding about business that he does. " Give an example of why he does not understand business. If all you have is you do not understand then you have nothing of use

Are you a Lemming?

The share price argument. 'Nuff said.

More than 650 execs support Red Hat. Only 85% of the total 650 participated. Something about getting the math right?

Simply put, he lied or showed complete incompetence as a journalist. You show the intelligence of a Lemming if you can't see this. Then again, his posts are followed by droves of lemmings. They follow every word he says without any regard for the truth.

Nothing like quoting yourself and self serving press releases to bolster your credibility.

I agree with what you said, except for ...

"He is saying that Red Hat shares are going up, while the Microsoft share price is going down.

He didn't say this. And it's not true anyway. Both Microsoft and Red Hat stocks are rising at the moment from lows in '09 and '08, respectively.

"If you need hand holding, then Red Hat or Novell might be good choices.

I would add Oracle Unbreakable Linux if you are serving their software. And if you don't need had holding, CentOS is certainly worth consideration. Both noteworthy Red Hat derivatives.

"If you need high reliability, then you are talking very expensive hardware, and you may need to be using IBM or Sun type hardware. Software with that will be just a minor expense.

I would add HP.

CIO's & Market Caps

Steve, too bad your article ends on a bad note. I echo the other comments re: Share price vs. Market cap - this was a very un-educated statement and devalued your entire argument.

Although, as a CTO I agree with many things you've said - I've been in the industry for 22 years, and the biggest challenge with any Linux solution has ALWAYS been the CIO. You must be working in a different field than I have been.

Most CIO's factor in risk, a CIO won't loose their job for picking "Microsoft", and Linux - no matter how good or cheap the solution, introduces risk and support issues.

CTO's and I.T Management have always been more inclined towards Linux, IF they have the appropriate staff (argument #2).

Although I agree that Linux market share is steadily increasing which I'm very happy - I absolutely DO NOT agree that CIO's are embracing this - to the contrary.

You've just run into SJVN's normal lack of ethics

So much for journalistic ethics. How about a couple more items that could use some clarification:

1. What constitutes an "IT Executive"? Is that the local programmer they sent to the meeting or someone that really makes financial and technical decisions?

2. How many CIO's were in the total survey? 650 or 1,000,000? How about some context?

3. That survey where Red Hat and Google tied. What was the context of that survey and how was it conducted. It's easy to rig a survey with the right crowd.

4. What constitutes the "Lions Share" of the market?

Lots of hyperbole here, little context from which one could figure out whether you speak the truth or something else. From the article, I'd say it's something else.

Since the original survey

Since the original survey was linked from the article, all you had to do to answer your own questions was click.