According to the China Post, the Market Intelligence Center (MIC), part of Taiwan's Institute for the Information Industry, says that in 2012, Android will have a 40% market share, with iOS weighing in at 19%, and Windows Phone 7 just behind at 17%.
That would be a big win for Microsoft, which has been stymied in its attempt to get the struggling smartphone operating system a larger market share.
If Windows Phone 7 does gain that kind of traction, it will clearly be due to the deal with Nokia.
MIC hasn't yet publicly backed up its market share claims, but I'd like a look at the data and assumptions. To skyrocket to that size market share by next year would be a major achievement for an operating system that so far has been largely greeted with a yawn from consumers. Clearly, MIC is expecting Nokia to use its market clout to boost Windows Phone 7.
My guess is that Windows Phone 7 won't come close to iOS next year. If it does, though, Microsoft will have a winner on its hands.