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Scott McPherson's picture
Scott McPherson

Tiptoeing Through Minefields

Another large government IT project goes down in flames

According to a story today from news service Breitbart, the Census Bureau is abandoning its quest to make the 2010 Census the first "digital" Census. A Census official is slated to tell a Congressional subcommittee that after spending hundreds of millions of dollars with vendor Harris Corporation of Melbourne, Florida, the solution -- handheld devices running special Census software -- has only a fraction of the functionality the Bureau thought it would have.

The Census Bureau was seeking the "holy grail" of Census enumeration -- namely, the fully digital process of knocking on doors, asking questions, recording the answers on a ruggedized PDA and uploading the results in real-time to the Census Bureau's mainframes. Instead of the Holy Grail, the Bureau has encountered the IT equivalent of the Knights Who Say, "NI!"

In this case, the Knights manifest themselves as pesky requirements that always seem to get in the way of a good idea. And demanding a shrubbery.

Besides their newfound use as a door knocker or as a weapon to ward off mean dogs, those expensive handheld appliances will now only be used for address verification.

It's not the first snafu for the Census Bureau. It recently announced it also wanted to skip the process of fingerprinting and checking the backgrounds and criminal histories of its enumerators.

Now, let's think about that for a moment. The Census Bureau will hire some 600,000 temp workers for the 2010 Census. All will handle sensitive data. And most of these temps will travel in neighborhoods, going door-to-door, asking questions and taking down the most sensitive personal information possible.

They will be invited willingly into peoples' homes with official US Government ID badges, sitting on the sofa or at families' kitchen tables, asking questions about family income, numbers of family members and their ages and gender, and other sensitive issues. Some enumerators will probably be given "long form" questionnaires that delve into even greater detail. And the Bureau wants to waive fingerprinting and background checks?

We have a description of the people in Washington who are asking for that waiver of criminal history checks. We call them clueless. Or short-sighted. Or just plain foolish. Or far worse.

I understand the agency's workload, which is monumental. That does not excuse the potential jeopardy American families might find themselves in, nor does it excuse the wasting of hundreds of millions of dollars on equipment that will serve no better purpose than to act as a handheld Garmin.

Harris may or may not be the villain here. I met with Harris executives a year ago as a courtesy to get briefed on this project, due to my past experience with the Census and my continuing interest in Census operations. It looked promising. But while there may not be a villain, there is most certainly a culprit. It is a familiar one. It is the old "requirements snafu," where the buyer cannot tell the seller exactly what they want. I am pretty confident there is a significant amount of "scope creep" to be found as well.

You would think that with all the money and all the "expertise" and all the attention allegedly paid to IT projects in Washington DC, somebody there would be able to write a bulletproof requirements document. It is Project Management 101. Detailed specifications. Strong expectations of performance. Specific deliverables (the favorite word of government procurement specialists).

Also, where was the project oversight? Where was the Congressional oversight? GAO? Federal CIO Council? How about the Census Bureau's Inspector General?

I recently had lunch with a good friend of mine, someone with the responsibility for oversight of government IT projects. He recounted a story of a government agency that wanted to fire its project's IT contractor. When my friend asked for the project plan in question, he was eventually rewarded with a three-ring binder, bulging with over 500 pages of plans.

The requirements section? A page and a half.

What People Are Saying

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Rated -1
127 Votes

Reasons why IT Projects Fail

Following are the reasons why IT Projects fail in order of importance and at all project maturity levels:

1. Frequent scope changes
2. Unattainable deadlines
3. Incorrect or incomplete Business Case
4. Precarious project management methods, tools and techniques
5. Lack of resources

The full article can be found here:
http://www.pmhut.com/failure-causes-in-it-project-management

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Rated -22
1822 Votes

Update

The Washington Post has an excellent story today, identifying "scope creep" as the main culprit, but it has plenty of accomplises. the story can be found at:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/04/03/AR2008040302068.html?wpisrc=newsletter&wpisrc=newsletter

Scott

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Rated +2
1858 Votes

As far as Census not doing

As far as Census not doing background/fingerprint checks: Remember, the temporary Census workers are only knocking on doors of those who DID NOT mail their forms back. If people would take 10 minutes to fill out the forms and stick it back in the postage-paid envelope, they wouldn't have to be bothered by a stranger knocking on their door. It would also save tons of tax dollars if the American public would participate. We (the American public) are the cause of all of our problems.

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Rated +23
1819 Votes

True, but consider....

Mike,
A valid point in a perfect Census. However, in Florida especially, there are severe language problems. In 2000, Haitians were not sent their forms in Creole, nor are they able to request them in Creole. And in a huge oversight project that helped get Florida its second Congressional district in 2000, I found that only 43% of people who called the Bureau to complain they did not get a form in the mail actually were contacted by the Bureau's enumerators. That meant 57% of those who contacted the Bureau never got a knock on the door or a form in the mail. That translated into thousands and thousands of people.

I agree that people who get a questionnaire need to answer it. No question about that! But the problems getting those people questionnaires in the first place run everywhere from holes in the Bureau's Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA) project, all the way to failures of direct mail contractors. We cannot hold people responsible if they never got a questionnaire. And they need to know that Census enumerator is qualified and does not represenat a threat.
Scott

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Rated -3
47 Votes

census

Creole? If they can't understand or speak English they shouldn't be here in America.

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Rated -18
1756 Votes

They are living in America

so they should be able to take action on their part to participate. They should not need a form in Creole mailed to them as the bureau is not going to know what every household requires regarding language. The form could/should contain instructions in other languages on how to obtain forms that are written in their chosen languages.

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Rated +23
1825 Votes

Census forms in other languages

The Census Bureau already supplies forms in French, Spanish, Chinese, Tagalog (Samoa)and I am sure I missed a language or two. To add Creole would be in keeping with the Bureau's mission to count people, regardless of their language of origin. It would also help identify the hundreds of thousands of Haitians who live in Florida and are misreported as "black".

Thanks for comment,
Scott

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Rated -9
1813 Votes

True, but consider...

I don't see any mention of the Bureau of the Census working with the Postal Service to verify addresses as has been done in the past. The Postal Service has THE most complete record of addresses in the country, better even than major mailers. The USPS address date base list EVERY valid address in the country, and is updated weekly to reflect new address, old addresses eliminated, and addresses vacant more than three months.

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Rated +4
1786 Votes

Addresses

The Census Bureau performs the Local Update of Census Addresses, or LUCA project, in partnership with the cities, counties and states. LUCA requires a constant stream of address information going from the states to the Bureau. I am sure the Postal Service is also involved, but the LUCA project also helps identify subdivisions and annexations that are "in the pipeline" and might come online immediately prior to the initiation of the Census.

Also keep in mind that Census forms can only be sent to residential addresses and not commercial addresses, which is considerably tougher for the USPS to deliver (forgive the pun). USPS cannot be expected to distinguish between residential and commercial addresses. That separation would require precisely the steps the Bureau takes to discover residential addresses via the LUCA program. In this way, if a commercial project is converted to a residential complex, for example, then the Bureau knows to add the addresses.

That is where the holes pop up. A less-than-diligent LUCA program at the State level can doom a state to Census undercounts, because the Bureau does not know where to go to count everyone.

USPS technology is used at the end of the LUCA program to match addresses, to drop false addresses (who would ever think a state might pad or "salt" a LUCA list just to get more people, tsk tsk) and then geocode and carrier-route sort the information for optimum and cheapest mailing. So the USPS comes into play as a kind of "trust but verify" when it comes to addresses. But it cannot be used as THE list.
Scott

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Rated +15
513 Votes

Addresses

Scott wrote: "USPS cannot be expected to distinguish between residential and commercial addresses."

EVERY address in the USPS database is coded to identify commercial, residential, apartment, etc. Major mailers have used the database for years to cherry pick where they want their mailings to go.

Census is too busy trying to reinvent the wheel to do their job properly.