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Preston Gralla's picture
Preston Gralla

Seeing Through Windows

Expect to see Windows 7 Lite by June, 2010

Microsoft's recent announcement that it will allow low-cost PC makers to ship computers with XP make it far more likely that Microsoft will deliver a Lite version of Windows 7 --- most likely by June, 2010.

A few days ago, Microsoft announced that it would allow makers of low-cost, not particularly powerful PCs to ship their computers with XP Home Edition. These PCs, commonly called nettops, will be used primarily, according to Microsoft, for "e-mail, accessing the Internet and instant messaging." For details about the announcement, click here.

Microsoft purposely left out the exact specs of these machines. Figure that they'll likely use Intel's Atom processor, have 1 MB to 2 MB of RAM, not particularly large hard disks, no dedicated graphics processor, and possibly no CD or DVD drive. Quite a few PC makers have these kinds of PCs in the works, including Acer, ASUStek, HP, Dell, Lenovo, and others.

Microsoft already allows makers of ultra-lightweight laptops such as the Asus Eee to sell XP. Now it's adding desktops to the mix. XP will be allowed to be sold on both kinds of devices until June, 2010.

As I've blogged about previously, I expect Microsoft to release a Lite version of Windows 7 then, because it will want to get people to upgrade to Windows 7, and not stay with XP forever. Microsoft's most recent announcement makes that all the more likely.

Making it even more likely is that Microsoft may be wrong about the ultimate use of nettops. Even with the nettops' stripped down capabilities, there's no reason they can't run a free office suite like OpenOffice. That means those PCs may be used not just as a second PC, but a primary one for many people who can't afford a more powerful PC.

Microsoft doesn't want to cede that market to Linux. So it will have to allow those PCs to run some version of Windows after June, 2010. Expect that version to be Windows 7 Lite.

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What People Are Saying

No Win 7 Lite - MS Struggling to Develop "Quebec"

Every indication from Microsoft is that Windows 7 will be a slightly modified Vista, but with touch input technology added. Microsoft has expressed a desire to maintain 100% compatibility for both programs and drivers between Vista and Win 7. They cannot deliver on such a promise in the short time to Win 7's release without retaining essentially everything from Vista. Vista expert Ed Bott says "Windows 7 = Vista Release 2."

http://blogs.zdnet.com/Bott/?p=361

http://www.edbott.com/weblog/?p=1985

That's why MS is pushing Vista now to businesses with the (interesting) argument that waiting for Win 7 is futile - it's just going to be another Vista, so you may as well upgrade now!

The hardware requirements for Win 7 will be at least equal to Vista's. Given the complexity of the touch input layer, it is conceivable Win 7 may require even powerful hardware on which to run well than does Vista. Win 7 uses the Vista kernel, and is not anywhere near capable of being scaled to a netbook computer.

Microsoft has another (seldom heard of) OS called "Windows Embedded," which is a tiny (40 MB) kernel, reportedly based on XP. It is intended for controlling devices like GPS locators and DVRs. Microsoft plans to add to Windows Embedded BitLocker drive encryption, Windows Firewall, Windows Defender, Address-Space load randomization, SuperFetch, ReadyBoost, IE 7, Windows Media Player 11, etc. etc. to turn Windows Embedded into a true OS, capable of powering "netbook" and "net top" computers. Microsoft claims they can add all of this to the Windows Embedded kernel, and still keep the size of the new OS to 300 MB. This is the "Quebec" project.

Quebec is in intended to be Microsoft's Linux-killer on low-powered devices. It is due out in early 2010, about the same time as Windows 7. Quebec will require authentication by WGA.

http://blogs.zdnet.com/microsoft/?p=1431

I doubt Microsoft can deliver on Quebec. It is small, but it is an entirely new OS which will need a raft of new hardware drivers. It needs to recognize and work with myriad devices including displays, networks, usb devices, storage cards, etc. It needs a desktop interface scaled to the smaller displays of netbooks, but needs also to run full high-resolution screens on net top devices like the Eee Box. Quebec needs to be adaptable to the hardware of dozens of different OEMs. Moreover, MS intends to develop Quebec simultaneously with Win 7. Meanwhile, they're supporting Windows Mobile, the next Office, Server 2008, and looking for another Yahoo to buy.

No way Microsoft can deliver Quebec on time, if ever. It sounds like a desperate kludge. Look for Win XP to see a few more years of life.

I sure hope THIS is a typo...

"...1 or 2 MB of RAM.."

Heck, the last OS that I recall running under those requirements was Windows 3.1 or DOS!

Unfortunately I could no

Unfortunately I could no longer wait for the next "stable" version of Windows, so I "upgraded" in early 2007 to Linux.

Maybe not

I read yesterday at Computer World that Microsoft says that users should not wait to upgrade from XP to Windows 7 as that will cause more problems than upgrading from Vista to Win7.

Oh the irony though. "Here buy our Vista that may not work well (yet) as that will improve your upgrade experience to our next Operating System."