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Eric Ogren's picture
Eric Ogren

Security Impact

Lockdown Networks: NAC vendor fails health check

 

A few NAC words are in order while friends of Lockdown Networks dry their tears over the companies passing. There are a more NAC vendors that have burned through VC capital that will also soon be facing difficult decisions.

It is stunning that Lockdown didn't even qualify for a fire sale, choosing instead to shut its doors as of March 18th. It's also telling that a company can shut down and it takes a few days for word to get around - if a company with no business slams its doors shut, does it make any noise?

I have never been a NAC believer, but there may be some lessons here:

  • When Cisco creates a market, it does not necessarily create a derivative market for private vendors. Even if you buy into the NAC concept, NAC has to be ubiquitous to be effective. Covering half your network really doesn't solve the health problem, and covering everything takes years for any distributed organization. Education is the exception vertical for NAC because of the nature of students and the tight locality of its networks, but the concept still does not scale well to the commercial enterprise world. NAC is an infrastructure play - all the companies jumping on the NAC bandwagon really just didn't get it.
  • Security is all about allowing the business to perform efficiently. The great concept that Perfigo had of cleaning machines to free up IT somehow got twisted by security zealots into locking out non-compliant machines. But I digress. There are only a couple of vendors that should be considered for NAC: Cisco and Microsoft. Cisco belongs because the network is a great place for gathering intelligence and enforcing operational policies; Microsoft because simplifying management of Windows endpoints is a responsibility they own.
  • Privately held NAC vendors need to come to terms with what their true value is. Lockdown promoted its policy management - instead of solving the problem themselves they tried to make it easier for IT to use other solutions. That's a tough approach. On the other hand, ConSentry is returning to its switch roots where they can offer NAC as a feature for competitive advantage. Nevis and StillSecure are also branching out. That may or not work, but it is certainly the more rational path to take.

Finally, many VCs expect a liquidity event within 5 or 6 years of initial investment. I see a lot of companies falling short of that goal. The math does not work out - there are several hundred security companies with goals of 100% growth chasing IT budgets with less than 5% growth. This could get ugly. There may be a trend in VCs refusing to throw good money after bad, especially in a down market.

What People Are Saying

NAC market continues to see strong growth

Eric,

While some may wonder where NAC is heading in the aftermath of Lockdown's exit and changes at (formerly) Vernier, here’s an interesting parallel to consider - the firewall market and the NAC market.

Look back to the evolution of the firewall market. When it was three years old (in 1998), firewall was a $182 million market (IDC). Today, it is at $3 billion (Gartner).

At three years old, the NAC market is now at $225 million (Gartner), 24% higher than firewall at the same age.

There certainly has been some market shake out recently. But we at Bradford Networks agree with Gartner, who projects that the NAC market will grow 100% in 2008.

From our vantage point, NAC is positioned for tremendous growth. The history of the firewall market certainly supports this. And what we're currently seeing in the market supports this as well. 2008 continues to be an exciting year for NAC.

As always, if you're interested in further comment on this or other NAC issues, drop a line. Bradford Networks is happy to help with customers, case studies, executive comment, or technical assistance.

Regards,

Frank Andrus
CTO, Bradford Networks