Cold calculations: Countrywide's exit strategy leaves subprime borrowers in the lurch
- IT TOPICS:Business Intelligence
Shoot the victim. That's the strategy Countrywide mortgage is taking this week by announcing that it will no longer offer subprime loans. I'm just wrapping up a column about the role analytics played in the mortgage crisis. But analytics and other decision support tools can't compensate for bad decision making. As Countrywide struggles to straighten out its balance sheet it is leaving its troubled subprime borrowers fewer alternatives to foreclosure.
Countrywide, the nation's largest mortgage lender, was one of many originators that kept the the housing bubble going by lowering lending standards and offering risky teaser loans to subprime candidates, knowing full well that the borrower could not afford the payments once the teaser rate expired. It gambled that housing prices would continue to climb forever, ensuring that these borrowers could refinance. Like so many other lenders, it lost that bet. The company has also been accused by former employees of offering financial incentives to push borrowers into more profitable subprime loans, according to a New York Times story (an allegation the company has denied).
On Tuesday, Chief Executive Angelo Mozilo stated that Countrywide will no longer offer subprime loans at all. That's wrong.
It's one thing for Countrywide to try to rebalance its portfolio in the short term by focusing on prime loans. It's another to exit the business entirely and eliminate financing for low-income borrowers because of mistakes made by Countrywide and the industry - mistakes that exploited those low and moderate income borrowers by selling them into loans they couldn't afford. Countrywide is now struggling to remain solvent, while many of its subprime customers are struggling to hold onto their homes. In exiting the subprime business Countrywide is sealing off the exits for borrowers trapped by those resets, leaving even fewer alternatives to foreclosure for struggling subprime borrowers.
As for new subprime borrowers, they're locked out of the housing market. Subprime loans can be very lucrative for banks, since they pay a handsome interest rate premium as compensation for the extra risk. It's ironic that Countrywide and other banks are now shutting the door on that business because of their own poor business practices.
But there's one small ray of hope. Countrywide did say that it would continue to offer subprime loans that could be sold through government-backed organizations such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And on Wednesday, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were given permission by The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight to buy up to $20 billion in subprime mortgages. In a statement, OFHEO director James Lockhart said the intent was to "provide greater assistance to subprime borrowers and others who may have trouble refinancing their existing mortgages."



