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Preston Gralla's picture
Preston Gralla

Seeing Through Windows

Study: Windows clobbers Linux on netbooks with over 90% share

There's been a lot of talk -- including from me -- that Linux is hurting Microsoft because of its big market share in netbook sales. But recent figures from the research firm NPD Group show that it's a myth. Windows now has more than 90% of all netbook sales. The game is over.

Back in November, I had written that Linux accounted for about 30% of all netbook sales. I based that number on a report by Bloomberg which said this:

Acer Inc. and Asustek Computer Inc., which together account for 90 percent of the netbook market, are using the rival Linux software on about 30 percent of their low-cost notebooks.

But that was then. This is now: A study by the analyst firm NPD Group has found that more than 90% of netbooks sold in November, December, and January shipped with Windows on them. Just as important is that only in December did netbook sales truly take off. So the earlier 70% Linux figure is on a far smaller number of machines sold. Stephen Baker, Vice President, Industry Analysis for NPD, told me this in an email:

According to our numbers the percent [of netbooks sold with Windows] is over 90% for the last three months (November, December, January), when sales actually began to happen (these are US numbers only). Before that there were very few sales and Linux was a much higher percent. For example 50% of all netbook sales in 2008 occurred in December in the US.

Does this mean that netbook sales won't continue to hurt Microsoft? No --- netbooks still mean trouble for the company, because Microsoft gets fewer dollars for Windows shipped on a netbook than it does for Windows shipped on a PC or laptop. And netbooks owners are unlikely to buy Microsoft Office.

But it does mean that when it comes to netbook sales, Linux is a paper tiger.

What People Are Saying

study paid by ms

Well lets see, I bought a netbook, Windows FORCED the manufacturer to put XP on it.

I formatted it(like MOST PEOPLE) and put Linux on. The studies counts me as a windows user.

I wonder what they will do when ARM netbooks start selling, oh wait they already have and they CANT run windows of any kind! Which means this study only counted netbooks that are sold with window son already!

In other words the study is a useless pile of crap.

What a joke.

Alternate Reality

I almost bought a Dell Inspiron Mini 10v Netbook recently, but refrained from doing so, because it was only available with Windows XP Home. I would have installed Linux anyway, but I wasn't sure if it is supported on that model. Besides I would have preferred SSD, which isn't available with Windows, because Windows won't run on SSD.

I already migrated my other machines from Windows XP to Linux. There were some issues, but not more than I was used to on Windows.

I think the point is Windows XP is heavily subsidized on netbooks and you cannot get one without Windows, though people would like to.

XP on Netbooks

It is interesting how a sale statistic may not show the reality.

At least here in my country (Costa Rica), yes most of the users do buy a Netbook with XP installed only to reinstall it later on with Linux.

If you go to a university must of the students have Ubuntu Linux installed because the applications are free.

It is not just the cost of Windows XP, it is also the cost of having other applications.

An the fact is that 90% of the time people only requires a browser to access email, social networks or video, which is something you can do in Linux without any trouble and with less security issues.

Well, at least that's the case in Costa Rica

Paid FSF FUD. First of all,

Paid FSF FUD. First of all, do you know everyone in Costa Rica?

Second, what you and your friends install has nothing to do with the rest of the world.

FSF shill.

Paid FSF FUD. First of all,

Tells as much as yourself isn't it?

Do you have to know everyone in Costa Rica to make a statement or have an opinion? What is your second point about? If you can't speak for the rest of the world, not to make an opinion at all?

I like his observation that good number of students in his University replace XP with Ubuntu. Surely, going to Linux would mean getting a good number of applications for free. This can be pretty useful to students where they get good applications for free. Also, students generally by nature tend to be more passionate and experimental and Linux is a perfect fit. On both, the aptitude and the purse.

It is a choice and all about choice. I am not surprised at the original commentator's observation.

But I agree with the article owner's statistics. net book is more of a gadget than a computer. Perceptions on familiarity with OS and applications makes general users more comfortable and that simply explains the 90% Windows market share.

I'm sorry, due to your

I'm sorry, due to your mangled, stream-of-consciousness syntax, I'm unable to understand what point, if any, you are attempting to make.

Please try again.

free software??

What free software are you referring to that is not available for windows which makes Ubuntu such an awesome option. I use both OSes personally, and free software isn't the reason I use Ubuntu. The great free apps IMO are OpenOffice, Firefox, and GIMP, and all of these are on both platforms.

The real question is...

Who paid for this "study?"

Linux needs more market exposure

The problem is that Linux just needs more market exposure. It all depends on how willing the PC vendors are at putting Linux on their systems. Also, the other hurdle is that Linux is NOT Windows (thank goodness). There is a learning curve. If people are willing to learn Linux, they should be pleasantly surprised that it runs better than Windows. But to get past these hurdles is quite a feat, and Linux hasn't been able to do it yet. Let's hope more and more articles and publications are put out there, as people need to learn more about Linux and become familiar with it.

I definitely prefer Linux, and I've managed to get almost every Windows computer I own erased and put Fedora 10 Linux on them. And I couldn't be happier. I'm now using my computers for what they were meant for, rather than wasting time maintaining the software on them. I've posted my experiences here:

http://members.apex-internet.com/sa/windowslinux

89% of statistics are wrong

In a study done by Exon, most consumers prefer their crab to be coated in crude oil.

My company sells thousands of netbooks as a wholesaler.
Until last year almost %100.00 had no OS as sold. After the usual MS arm twisting we were TOLD by MS that they would sell us a license for XP for $4.00 the catch we had to put a license for XP on ALL systems (no Linux as that would violate that agreement) the customer wanted them or not.

The netbooks were a small market DOMINATED by Linux users, the market grew MS got scared and has been working overtime churning out FUD like this for the last year.

I'm not a computer guy, I don't even know what this Linux thing is other than it's a free competitor to MS. I do know when I'm being used and I do know a LIE when I see it.

Computerworld check your data first, otherwise the people who actually know what the real world is doing will check your data for you.