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Seth Weintraub's picture
Seth Weintraub

Apple versus Google

What if Steve Jobs isn't deathly ill?

To look around the web these days, you have to believe Steve Jobs is on his deathbed.  He can't even bring himself to appear before the Macworld 2009 audience and Apple's succession team is about to spring into action.  Hold on a minute...

I don't have any inside information to this effect, but it doesn't sound like the Macworld Expo-Apple relationship is ending on a high note.  In fact, I'd say there is some long term animosity between the two organizations. Up until now there was a mutual need for the other, a symbiotic relationship.  Apple deciding to cut the ties is a pretty brutal blow to the Expo.  In 2010, Apple's WWDC will be competing with Macworld Expo for the eyes and ears of the Apple world.

So, to be even more brutal, Apple has decided to cancel its headline act, Steve Jobs, from the show.  While initially this is huge news, especially to us Apple watchers, to the general public, it will make the show a lot less interesting.  Apple's PR, if they are ever to be believed, have said as much.  Why roll out their heavy hitter to a show that they are no longer vested in?

As for Steve Job's gaunt appearance over the past year, I proffer an explanation.  Joe Nocera knows the truth - and it isn't cancer.  What if  Steve Jobs is undergoing a special diet?  One that many people have been doing lately: The longevity diet.  It is based on a model of severe caloric restriction to below what the body wants.  The diet dramatically increases lifespans and quality of life in everything from fruit flies to primates, according to its researchers.

If that is the case, why wouldn't Apple or Steve Jobs release this information publicly?  Well, this diet is still on the fringe of normal behavior,  and the general public probably would think it was a bit nuts.  Then there is the "this is none of your damned business!!" factor.

Think about it though: is Steve Jobs the kind of person who would put himself on a very special diet?  Would he be willing to sacrifice being hungry for a longer, healthier life?  Would the effects of such a diet mesh with what we've seen lately?

This scenario doesn't seem so far fetched to me.

Some excerpts from the book:

I was well aware of Clive McKay's seminal research on dietary restriction, in the 1930s at Cornell University. His rodents were put on their regime early in life, one in which they were severely and abruptly restricted. Much has transpired since Dr. Richard Weindruch and I postulated and proved in my laboratory that adult-onset CR [Calorie Restriction] in mice, if done gradually, would trigger the health benefits described above.

At that time, I started writing books explaining the scientific principles behind CR, making the case that CR, even when started in adulthood, will almost certainly have the same effects in people as those seen in laboratory animals. We are compelled to say "almost" because the studies needed to prove this would of course take more than a century to conclude. But, as so far tested, CR works across nearly the whole animal kingdom, so it would indeed be surprising if it did not work in humans. Moreover, studies on monkeys currently underway in three laboratories in the United States very clearly show that the extensive physiologic and biochemical changes seen in CR rodents are also found in CR monkeys, to whom we are extremely closely related. In addition, the human studies I personally participated in, monitored, and published results upon, while the medical officer in side the experimental habitat Biosphere 2, also show the same changes.

More studies are underway, and preliminary results all point in the same direction: the CR effect appears to be universal in the animal kingdom. Researchers at Washington University, for example, have just published a report in the journal Nature showing that people on CR manifest the same changes in cholesterol, fasting glucose, insulin levels, and other parameters of health as those seen in nonhuman animals on CR.

 

What People Are Saying

Jobs Succession

It is absurd to believe that the Apple board has not long ago put in place a succession plan, and updated it regularly. This is SOP for any company, especially a public company. This would also include other key executives.

Jobs is special, but he's not irreplaceable. There are plenty of companies where the founding CEO has had a major role in the growth of the company, but steps aside once his "systems and vision" have been encapsulated in the company. Bose is one - Amar Bose hasn't run that company in 20 years. Nor has Ray Dolby. Sydney Harman. These companies all continue in the tradition of the founder, without the founder being involved anymore.

The Jobs era has ended. Life goes on.

Jobs Health and Lack of Suitable Successor

Greetings:

I have been an Apple user since pretty much the beginning (1978). Back then, Jobs was a visionary about what was possible.

When Jobs decided to bring in someone else to help run things, he was removed. When he had the opportunity to get back in the company, he decided to make himself indispensable. That worked well for 10 years, but now it's to the detriment of Apple.

A company cannot function without a true visionary at the helm. Schiller and Cook are not viable replacements for Steve. Sure, they have a crew of brilliant people coming up with ideas, but Apple needs someone like a Richard Branson running them. Someone that isn't trying to be the next Steve Jobs, but someone that has a global vision like Steve Jobs.

As an Apple stockholder and as an Apple Consultant, I believe that there are numerous investors who are involved with Apple just *because* of Steve Jobs. There are investors who want to be part of a company that has an inspired, global leader at the helm. That's what they're investing in. They're not investing in market share, product line, cool factor, or anything like that. They are investing in a person's vision.

That makes Steve's health very public. Apple can argue all it wants that they can run without Steve, but that's complete B.S. Too many people are ultimately investing in Steve's vision.

I used to work at Microsoft (as a Mac guy, no less). Back in the late 80's and early 90's, Gates' vision was to have a computer in every home, on every desktop, running Microsoft products (namely, Windows). When Gates started to make the transition out of his visionary role and move "out" nearly a decade ago, the stock went flat. Microsoft has not done anything stellar for at least a decade. They cannot function without a visionary at the helm. Sorry, but Ballmer is NOT a visionary. They are trying to do business as usual, and that's not exciting.

Besides, Apple made all of the exciting innovations in the last 30 years, and only in the last decade started to figure out how to market them.

The reason people are investing in companies like Virgin Group is because Branson is a global (and even universal) thinker. That's what people are putting their money in.

Apple had better wake up to the fact that they almost died without Jobs, and will do so again - UNLESS they have a very suitable replacement. Ives is the only real "visionary" I've seen in the public eye, but I don't know if he's the right visionary leader for the company - they need to find a younger person who can see what Apple is going to do for the next 50 years - otherwise they DO slip from being an extraordinary company to an ordinary one.

Jobs health/whipple

Survivors after a Whipple procedure for cancer are few and far between, and quite lucky.

The procedure removes part of the the pancreas and survivors typically suffer poor digestion and metabolism (sugar, fats, proteins). Throw in the possibilities of other complications related to abdominal surgery, and who else knows (his private records are private).

Jobs will soon step down

In 2003 Jobs learned that he had a malignant tumor in his pancreas - a large gland behind the stomach that supplies the body with insulin and digestive enzymes. The most common type of pancreatic cancer - adenocarcinoma - carries a life expectancy of about a year. Jobs was lucky; he had an extremely rare form called an islet cell neuroendocrine tumor that can be treated surgically, without radiation or chemotherapy.

Obviously Steve Job’s condition is getting worse each day because it was never completely cured. He should have stepped down before launching the iPhone then nobody would have noticed his current condition. Apple’s stock is going to tank when he leaves the company, this day will come soon.

luckyincome.blogspot.com

Steve had a Whipple Procedure...

...do some research first, please. If you read up on it, you'll see that 5 to 10% weight loss is a common complication. As a result a 2nd procedure is often prescribed, a reverse jejunem, to slow digestion, and increase nutrient absorption. According to Nocera's article, Steve had a 2nd procedure. The pieces fit with the known facts, no need to make up new wild rumors. Steve will always be thin for the rest of his life.

I wrote about Jobs' Whipple

I wrote about Jobs' Whipple procedure in June
http://9to5mac.com/jobs_getting_better

His appearance - getting thin 4 years after the surgery - doesn't really fit the normal pattern

Steve's health

I don't know the exact date it occurred, but at some point in our culture most people decided it was their business to know everyone else's business. I think it reached critical mass during the Phil Donahue, Sally Jessie Raphael, Oprah Winfrey (dare I say 'Jerry Springer'?), Maury Povich, et al epoch. Sticking our noses into other people's lives is now both 'our right' and an addiction...fed all too eagerly by the proliferation of what are called 'journalists' (of various types).

I am here to report that this new dogma did not always exist to the extent that it does now in our culture. Sure, it has always been there to some degree, but a much smaller one. We used to have more respect for people and their privacy. Change isn't always for the better.

Overzealous intrusiveness, using controversy to increase one's popularity, stock manipulation or an effort to cause trouble for a competitor...all are valid motivations for the unscrupulous or the unprincipled. And none of them is a valid argument for Steve to reveal to any of us the state of his health.

When Steve had his close call with cancer, lots of 'experts' and concerned members of the media said Apple was negligent for failing to establish a succession plan. They said Steve should start selecting and developing people to take his place which, of course, he's done. And now that he has, it's a sign he's terminally ill. So the concern expressed by those in the press, and in the industry, wasn't genuine. It was merely agenda-driven drivel. Hmmm...no surprise there.

So, my advice to all is, "Mind your own business." And leave the guy alone. He owes you nothing. He's given all of us so much. Is it too much to ask to give him the respect he's due? I think not.

Healthy, Wealthy . . .?

A short comment on the head of a Public Company. Perhaps Mr. Jobs should consider buying back the stock of the company so that his health is no longer a concern. However since the operations and value are so closely linked to the health and well-being of this icon he has an obligation to shareholders. This is much different than public fascination with movie stars private lives. Steve Jobs must be healthy. Think about the backdating of stock for personal gain issue - most, when faced with a terminal scare (the big C), become more compassionate, empathic, humbled even philanthropic. How often we have seen in our lifetime wealth and notoriety focused to help the fight against a disease. To raise consciousness and funds to tackle an illness. To help others. Mr. Jobs must be healthy as a horse because he hasn't reached a point in his life where the need to feed ones soul becomes greater than to feed ones pocket.

Apple is a public company..

Steve Jobs is the CEO of a public company, and is overwhelmingly the most important employee of that company. As such, his health is of material, public, importance; particularly to current Apple shareholders.

If Steve Jobs wants his health to be private, then he should quite Apple and run a private company instead.

Re: Apple is a public company..

If you drive a car on a public street, then your emotional, mental, and physical health has a direct impact on the welfare of others. Therefore, I have every right to know the state of your finances, how many girlfriends (or boyfriends, or both) you have on the side, your entire medical history (both physical and mental), your IQ, and what you had for breakfast.

What you view as a right, I view as an intrusion in private matters. If you are so worried about Mr. Jobs health, then don't own Apple stock and don't buy their computers.