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Michael Horowitz's picture
Michael Horowitz

Defensive Computing

Who cares about Windows 7?

Someone from Microsoft is giving a presentation tonight on Windows 7 at a local computer user group. Debating with myself over whether to attend, made me think, who really cares about Windows 7?

Certainly the presenter will be preaching to the choir, computer user group members. But there probably won't be many dentists, plumbers, lawyers, photographers, nurses or musicians in attendance. Only techies care about operating systems and techies are far outnumbered by (for lack of a better term) normal people.

To the silent majority of non-techies, a new release of Windows is nothing but aggravation to be dealt with: software incompatibilities, hardware incompatibilities, mandated software updates and a new interface to learn.

This is not, in any way, a judgment on the technical pros and cons of the new operating system, rather it reflects the reality that most people use a computer to get work done, and the best thing the operating system can do is get out of their way.

Microsoft wants Windows to be a front and center thing. But outside of the IT world, it's not, it's just the foundation. Like any foundation, it belongs out of sight.

Non techies care about their applications, not the underlying operating system.

How many people would have switched to Macs if it couldn't run Microsoft Office? Very few.

Vista was a failure in the marketplace. But how much of that failure simply derived from not being Windows XP? And from Windows XP being good enough?

The huge delay in releasing Vista let XP seep into the collective consciousness. It's the most popular operating system on the planet. Millions of people with no interest in or aptitude for computers, struggled to learn Windows XP. And now that they know how to use it, how many are going to willingly switch to a new release of Windows, one that forces them to change the way they work?

Willingly is the key here. No one advertises the fact that you can still buy a new computer with XP pre-installed. No doubt every salesperson in every computer retailer tells customers that XP is not available. Yet, it is, just not at retailers (excluding netbooks of course). 

How many people buying Vista based computers at a brick and mortar retailer choose to go with Vista? That is, they knew they could get either XP or Vista and wanted Vista? The few that did, probably feared that XP wouldn't be a viable option in the years to come.

Of course, it turns out that Vista is the operating system that won't be a viable option in the future. The popularity of Windows XP guarantees that all new software and hardware will work with it. Anyone creating software or hardware would be fool to ship a product that doesn't work with XP. Windows XP is too big to fail.

Has Microsoft been forced to extend the life span of XP time and time again because Vista is that bad? Maybe not. Maybe some failure was built-in.

Windows XP remains the path of least resistance for non-techies. It will continue to have the best hardware and software compatibility for quite a while. And, it's what they know.

BUSINESSES

Businesses will be slow to adopt any new version of Windows due both to their need for backward compatibility as well as reliability. Windows XP is pretty much debugged by now. Everyone knows that a new version of Windows isn't fully baked when it's first released (fool me once, yada yada yada).

When Windows 7 is eventually judged to be reliable, then businesses will consider the bang for the buck. Will Windows 7 offer enough benefit to justify the time, effort and expense of upgrading? Many evaluated Vista and passed on it - even Intel. Even businesses that judge Windows 7 worthy, are likely to wait until the first service pack before seriously committing to it.

Certainly businesses have learned to deal with XP by now. Windows 7 will likely necessitate big changes to the in-place, functioning, paid-for and familiar infrastructure. It has a high hurdle to climb.

CHILDREN

Children don't belong on Windows at all.

There's too much malware out there and keeping all the software on a Windows machine up to date is too hard. As for standard defensive measures: UAC is too confusing, running as a restricted user is too often impractical and dealing with anti-malware software is certainly too much to expect. 

Children are best served with a Linux based netbook running Firefox and Open Office.

Why Linux rather than a Mac?  

For one, it's significantly cheaper. Kids break things and better they break a $350 netbook rather than a $1,200 Apple laptop.

Also, their small fingers are a great match for the small keyboards on netbooks. And the small size of netbooks makes them easier for children to carry around.

Linux is also easier to maintain. Despite the plethora of malicious comments directed at me for criticizing some Linux software update applications, the fact is that Linux is on the right path when it comes to updating software.

All the distributions I've sampled defaulted to automatic self-updating (my gripes were directed at manual updates) and all the software gets updated, not just the software from the OS vendor. Both Microsoft and Apple update their own software, but only in Linux does the operating system keep all the installed software up-to-date. This goes a long way to making the end user safer.

So who, in the end, other than a handful of techies, cares about Windows 7?

What People Are Saying

Totally Agree w/Article

The article writer is correct.

People are confusing "Is Windows 7 any good" with "do people really need it?"

First, is Windows 7 any good? You bet. Without a doubt. It's basically a polished version of Vista (many claiming it should have just been let out as Vista SP3 in order to squelch the Vista stigma). I used Win7 on a netbook, and so far it's good. I use Vista on a dual-core desktop, and it was shakey from the start, but a few SP's and it's ok. Still a resource hog.

However, we get to the "do people really need it?" aspect. No. There's no new killer app or killer function that Win7 does to entice people to switch from XP. A 1ghz comp with 1gb ram with XP on it can do everything the normal Joe person wants to do, from web-surfing to email to office and so on.

Like the author said, all the bugs have been worked out of XP by now. But for some strange reason people think of software like hardware ... they think it'll "rust" or something.

"It's an 8 year old OS!" Yeah, that just means it's tried-and-true. Software doesn't "break down" as it ages like hardware does. Software gets better with age. Since XP, Vista & Win7 are all based on the NT kernel, it's not too difficult to create backwards compatible software.

There will come a time when people migrate away from XP. But, it will mostly be from getting new hardware, not from buying upgrade cd's. Some folks will think "old OS = crap", so they'll upgrade with that illogical mindset even if XP works. There will eventually be new software that might not work on XP. That will move folks over.

But software and hardware are not advancing as fast as they were during the 90's and early 00's. Back then, it was leaps and bounds. But today, we've reached a cusp of hardware/software that the average user deems "good enough" for their use. They won't move on unless some killer app forces them to upgrade the OS, or their hardware bites it and forces them to buy a new comp.

However, you can't have this conversation with techie/IT people. They are in love with Win7, partly because they want to be (they want MS to do something that will remove the stain of Vista), and partly because Win7 *is* a good product. Techies and IT people will move on to Win7. And we WANT them to, so they can shake out any bugs. They're good at that stuff.

But in this economic time, non-techie people can't justify popping upwards of $200 to get an OS that doesn't offer anything more to them. Security? Faster boot times? They don't care. Non-techies fear computers. They've spent so long finally getting their comp w/WinXP running just right as it is...why would they risk PAYING MONEY to screw it up with a new OS? That's how they think. It's how my parents think. It's how my non-techie friends think.

Business, too, will not upgrade after the huge gaffe Vista had with backwards compatibility. Why risk your legacy apps not working in Win7? You'd have to spend a ton of money on upgrade licenses, then a ton of money on programmers to re-write your legacy apps. It's not cost-effective. For some companies it may be (if they see a long-term cost savings from the short-term expenditure). But other companies will pass it by until they absolutely MUST migrate. And most companies, even if they DO want to migrate, will wait until the first SP comes out.

So, yeah...Win7 is out. It's a great product. But, it's like coming out with a new Ferrari when everyone's already driving a very reliable, old Honda that they know how to work on, and economic times can't justify splurging on the new Ferrari. They're both cars. They both take you from point A to point Z. The Ferrari may be able to do so faster, but why bother when the Honda still works.

And that's why MS will get software vendors to start making software Win7-only. New anti-virus will push people to migrate. But that's another issue.

This is a deeply flawed article

This is a deeply flawed article which poses the question: Who care about Windows 7? The short answer is: nobody. The author seems to suggest that no 'normal people' - to use the author's unimaginative term - really cares about operating systems in the first place. All they need is for their applications to work; for them to be able to surf the net. But is that accurate? Let me approach this from a different angle.

The author begins by suggesting that XP is most compliant with the demands of hardware and applications. This is, at best, an empty and specious statement. It does not take a rocket scientist to work out that any operating system that has been in play for over half a decade will have a high degree of compliance with hardware and applications. In a similar manner, it should also not be surprising that XP is relatively stable. Well, considering the time that it has been in the market, it SHOULD be stable!

This brings us to Vista. Sure, when first released, it had problems. Part of these problems were inherent problems of a relatively new code base. The major part of the problem, however, was the inability of existing hardware and software to play with Vista. But today, with Vista's SP1, these latter problems are very minor. The question, of course, is whether Vista is a problematic OS in the first place. The answer to this is a qualified yes. The reason is because the nature of common and everyday computing is changing and Vista was unfortunate to have appeared right in the middle of this transformation. The hardware profile is increasingly tending to favouring mobility and this has been further accentuated by the emergence of 'netbooks' which, frankly, cannot handle the 'volume' that Vista presents. For non-mobile systems, however, Vista remains a very viable option - assuming of course that the hardware is current and, to put it mildly, modern.

Now, consider the imminent release of Windows 7. If you agree that the profile of computer usage is changing, then it is possible to contextualize Windows 7 as being an attempt by MS to address these changing needs. Unlike Vista, Win7 will be lighter, while at the same time maintaining the changed GUI that Vista brought about. Equally, Win 7 will be (if we go by the public pronouncements coming out of MS) light enough to be deployed on netbooks. Working from this premise then we find that MS's release of Win 7 is a carefully calculated move. What MS is looking for is to extend the Vista experience across a variety of hardware platforms. This is quite different from the XP to Vista move. That move was abrupt. But the move from Vista to Win7 is not so much of a move, rather than the establishment of a complementarity between Vista and Win7. The percieved differences between the two newer operating systems are relatively insignificant - especially when considered in the context of the author's 'normal people'.

Now, why are 'normal people' concerned about this contra what the author suggests?

Simply because we (the normal people) are experiencing a change in how we use our computers. The first evidence of this was with the re-design of Office 2007. The next step in this experience was Vista and the third is going to be with Win7.

And, for the record: I am one of those 'normal people' and I am concerned/ interested about Win7.

Is there anything wrong with

Is there anything wrong with XP? Firefox works, Opera works, office works, drivers work, things load and operate at a respectable speed. Is there any reason to blow $200+ on another operating system when you don't need one?
Sure, there might be some better graphical effects, but XP has DX9, and tons of graphical effects can run on it fine. Heck, you can even get an Aero transformation pack.
Yes, today's hardware can run vista without many hitches, but not very many people in today's economy wants to buy a new computer that can run it.
And at the end of the day, people are just going to use a handful of applications: browser, office, and productivity tools (like photoshop). Not too many people will be fascinated by reading the fine print of UAC.

I disagree

> This is a deeply flawed article

The article is very good.

Windows XP is *good enough* for most people, and I don't believe Microsoft will retire XP anytime soon.

XP is the only Microsoft OS that they can bundle in low-cost, sub-$200 netbooks. If Microsoft retires XP, this market will be given to Linux.

Thus, Win7 will compete not only with Macs, Ubuntu, and Android -- but also with XP.

It will be *very* difficult for Win7 to get the same level of market share that XP once did.

I switched to Linux

I switched to Linux (specifically Ubuntu) a few years back.... I installed the aps I wanted and after that well, all my software, including the main os itself gets upgraded automatically just as a simple update....

User interface mainly stays the same from version to version which is very xp like anyhow (gnome) I don't have to mess around with anything, a completely different story from when I was running windows and had to upgrade.

Windows 7 and most major software updates

Not only do most non-tech users dread Windows upgrades, but they look at other software updates the same way. Microsoft did fine with Office until Office 2007 when they changed the interface. Most users that I have talked to do not like it for a variety reasons. Like a comfortable pair of shoes most people prefer to stay with what they are familar with using; even if it is from the 1990's.

Vista is no failure

"Vista was a failure in the marketplace."

Wrong.

According to Net Applications, Vista has a market share of 22.91%, compared to 5.64% for Mac OSX 10.5 and 0.88% for desktop Linux.

Vista *is* a failure... against XP

Your numbers conveniently miss out on the #1 operating system. Compare Vista to the 63.53% for Windows XP. Thus, Windows XP has almost 3 times the share! That's the point of this article - Windows' biggest threat is itself, or at least the more familiar and older self. When a major new version fails to even dent *half* of its predecessor's share in time for the *next* version (Windows 7), I'd call it a failure.

Who cares about Windows XP?

Windows XP is creaky old operating system that's not up to modern standards.

I use Vista SP1 Preinstalled every day, and have no complaints. I would never, ever, go back to Windows XP.

Who needs Windows! We should have stuck with MS-DOS! (grin)

Like MS-DOS, Windows XP is history. Get over it.

> Windows XP is creaky old

> Windows XP is creaky old operating system
> that's not up to modern standards.

That's what Microsoft says when they release a new product: the old one is no good, it is difficult, insecure... nevermind it was the best thing until last year.

But now, with the sub-$200 netbooks running under 1Gb RAM, I think Microsoft will be forced to do what the market wants: preserve XP for the low cost computers.

I don't expect Microsoft to retire XP anytime soon.