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Preston Gralla's picture
Preston Gralla

Seeing Through Windows

Who's a worse economist: Jerry Yang or Secretary Paulson?

As the economy heads south, there are plenty of boneheaded CEOs and clueless government officials to blame. Looking at the overall economy in general, and the tech economy specifically, Chief Yahoo Jerry Yang and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson stand out for how destructive their actions have been. Which one of the two do you think has made more boneheaded decisions?

Of course, you really can't accurately compare the two. Paulson's actions affect the entire economy, while Yang's directly affect only one company and its investors. Still, it's worthwhile trying to figure out who made worse decisions.

Months ago, Jerry Yang turned down Microsoft's offer of $31 a share for his company. Yang turned his head the other way. A mere $31? He was convinced he would be able to beef up the company so it was worth far more than that. It didn't quite work: As I write this, Yahoo's share price hovers at just above $9 a share.

It's tough to know what convinced him he'd turn around the company, other than sheer blindness to reality. Yahoo had no chance of catching Google in the search market, and was falling further and further behind with each passing month. He had no plan for catching up, other than possibly a deal with Google --- a possible deal that government regulators may well squash.

It's true that since Microsoft made its offer, the entire stock market has tanked, but even at the time of the offer, the economy was in rough shape and going nowhere. Yang should have known that $31 was the best he would get. As it is, he's now gone, and Yahoo shareholders are left holding the bag. Microsoft won't buy the company, Ballmer has said, and may only be interested in part of it.

Now how about Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson? Instead of using the $700 billion from Congress to help homeowners, buy up toxic mortgages, or ensure that banks start lending again, he's handed over billions to banks with no strings attached. In Great Britain, by way of contrast, the bailout requires that if banks get the money, they have to start lending.

So what are the banks doing with the billions in taxpayer dollars? Some banks have simply squirreled the money away. Others will be using it to buy their competitors. Paulson now says he won't use any money to buy troubled mortgage assets or help homeowners.

Both conservative Republicans and liberal Democrats are furious with Paulson, and justifiably so. Conservative Jeb Hensarling (R-Tex.) says Paulson's move "felt like a bait and switch." Liberal Gary Ackerman (D-N.Y.) said to him at a hearing, "You came to us with a plan, then suddenly one day we woke up and found that $700 billion would be used for a different purpose. You appear to be flying a $700 billion plan by the seat of your pants."

I'm torn over whether Paulson or Yang has made the worse decisions. With Yang leaving as Yahoo CEO, his title reverts to Chief Yahoo, which is certainly fitting. I think Paulson should share the title.

Of the two, who do you think is worse?

Preston Gralla is a contributing editor for Computerworld, and the author of more than 35 books.

What People Are Saying

Wake up America

Agenda Agenda Agenda...

Our government wants to socialize (nationalize) the country.

Our government wants to crash the dollar so they can go to a new one.

Check out SPP.GOV and North American Union and Amero.

I know... they say the Amero does not exist... well why produce a proof set of something that you don't plan on using?

In July I told all my friends to get out of the Stock Market and they did not believe me... well they do now.

Search on this... "Democrats in the U.S. House have been conducting hearings on proposals to confiscate workers’ personal retirement accounts — including 401(k)s and IRAs — and convert them to accounts managed by the Social Security Administration."

Yeah, I'll have to go with Paulson...

Jerry Yang has an ego the size of Los Angeles, is a tech Geek (not a put down as I am one too) and made 1 $44,000,000,000 (billions) mistake.

Paulson on the other hand is supposed to be a financial wizard yet continues to make mistakes and has the U.S. public down about: $7,000,000,000,000 (trillions) and isn't finished spending yet and so far I haven't seen any of it...HAVE YOU?
I keep hearing about companies going under due to lack of credit or the customer's inability to get credit (catch 22) and so far we have the worst unemployment since after WWII.
==========================================
Yeah, I'll have to go with Paulson with George Bush in 2nd Place.

Worse Economist

Paulson. Hands down. I saw Paulson on 'The NewsHour With Jim Lehrer' on PBS. What a disappointment!!! How on earth could this clown be allowed to direct the recovery. He couldn't express one clear, well-organized thought that had anything to do with any of the questions that were put to him. We are so shafted.

There's no longer a reason to watch "LOST" on your big screen plasma TV folks, because you are living it.

.

.

We got dereg. We got what we deserved

Saw it in 30s. Seeing i now

Neither one is good

Both had access to the greatest financial advisors (who were probably selling their shares) and yet told us things were economically great.

But I would say that Paulson is the worst. He should have known years ago that what was going on in the financial sector was unsustainable. Look what happened
when the same types of deregulation, that caused all the S&L bailouts of the late 1980's, were passed just a few years earlier.

In the early 2000s we saw the President replace the SEC board with a bunch of idiots who looked the other way when the SEC trading rules were broken. In 2004 the SEC
created CSE status (strange how all the banks that got it are now bankrupt) which basically stated that financial institutions should be left to regulate themselves. After all, they are always going to do the right thing. Right?

One would think that any purported financial guru would know financial history. It's no big secret
that deregulation run amok caused the Great Depression. Paulson is an idiot if he didn't see it coming.

Both are bad

Both had access to the greatest financial advisors (who were probably selling their shares) and yet told us things were economically great.

But I would say that Paulson is the worst. He should have known years ago that what was going on in the financial sector was unsustainable. Look what happened
when the same types of deregulation, that caused all the S&L bailouts of the late 1980's, were passed just a few years earlier.

In the early 2000s we saw the President replace the SEC board with a bunch of idiots who looked the other way when the SEC trading rules were broken. In 2004 the SEC
created CSE status (strange how all the banks that got it are now bankrupt) which basically stated that financial institutions should be left to regulate themselves. After all, they are always going to do the right thing. Right?

One would think that any purported financial guru would know financial history. It's no big secret
that deregulation run amok caused the Great Depression. Paulson is an idiot if he didn't see it coming.

A lot of us common folks saw it coming as early as 2002. It's not rocket science. When you repeat mistakes of the past, you relive the same consequences.