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Preston Gralla's picture
Preston Gralla

Seeing Through Windows

Why Windows 7 won't save Microsoft

Microsoft is most likely banking on being saved by Windows 7, after its stumble with Vista. But there are early indications that Windows 7 won't be the savior that Microsoft has been hoping for.

Plenty of consumers and enterprises have stayed away from Vista, and there's a possibility that many are planning to skip Vista, and instead jump to Windows 7. But it's not at all clear that Windows 7 will be the significant improvement that they're hoping for.

Let's start with the interface. Although it's still early in the development cycle, all screenshots that I've seen, including those I've shown about in my blog, look nearly identical to Vista. So people who simply don't like Vista's look and feel most likely won't be pleased.

Next up, what some people perceive as system bloat. There's no doubt that installed on the same hardware, Vista is slower than XP. In a recent speech at a Microsoft MVP event, Steve Ballmer admitted:

Vista is bigger than XP. It's going to stay bigger than XP. We have to make sure it doesn't get bigger still.

That goes for Windows 7 as well. People looking for a minimal kernel, with services plugged in on an as-needed basis, will most likely be disappointed.

Given that Microsoft has said that it will never again let five years go between operating system releases, it's going to move quickly on Windows 7, and most likely release it at the end of 2009, or early in 2010. So don't expect any major changes to the plumbing, or overall architecture.

In fact, there's a reasonable chance that Windows 7 will be something akin to XP's SP1, which was a fairly significant upgrade, but not an overhaul of the operating system.

The upshot? We may have to wait for Windows 8 to see a real overhaul of Windows.

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What People Are Saying

Save Vista!

SAVE VISTA Facebook group: http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=83481756967

Well, obviously it still

Well, obviously it still looks like Vista! First of all, Milestone 1 just installed over Vista Ultimate. And second of all, it's the very first milestone! Microsoft said they weren't going to have a new GUI until after M2, which is just like they did for Luna for XP and Aero for Vista.

Why Windows 7 won't save Microsoft

Because the advances in Linux systems like Ubuntu are the future. If you see how the gap has closed exponentially between the two rivals then by extrapolation, only a Microsoft Graphical style UI on top of Linux will by your lot in 5 years. So there's Ubuntu , Kubuntu etc and maybe Mubuntu!! LOL.

Since when does microsoft need saving?

Last I checked they still have >90% of the market share in desktop OS. If people are not switching to Vista because of the implied cost required for new hardware and incompatibility with older software, that pretty much eliminates Mac as a main competitor in the foreseeable future.
Switching to some *ux system on a wide scale is also not probable due to the need for personnel training and the unavailability of support for various software (they might very well run on *ux, but the manufacturers don't offer support/targeted updates/training)
Even if Microsoft has lost a couple of percent market shares mostly to Apple this past year, they are still far far from needing rescuing.
Not that I wouldn't welcome more competition in the desktop OS arena, but that is another question entirely.

Windows 7

Microsoft should create a new operating system.... Moduler in design.
Hummm???? should we call it O/S 2.

The Basic Problem

Actually, I think this sentence from Preston's original post outlines the entire problem with Vista, and I'm afraid it will be the same with Windows 7:

"People looking for a minimal kernel, with services plugged in on an as-needed basis, will most likely be disappointed."

Windows, and other Microsoft products, are continually being modified to suit the needs of complete idiots. There are too many features in the operating system that have no business being there (IE, Paint, Wordpad, Calculator, just to name the first ones that come to mind). Are they useful? Of course. But they have -- or should have -- absolutely nothing to do with making the computer run, and should be available only as add-ons, even if they're free for download.

As we're seeing with Vista, the peasants (i.e., the customers) are revolting. Our old hardware works just fine, thank you, and anyone with a sense of fiscal responsibility isn't going to upgrade just because Microsoft tells them to (and it's pretty much a necessity to run Vista). For that matter, XP runs just fine, and there is no need for most people to "upgrade" to Vista.

Out of fairness to Microsoft, I will acknowledge that they are by no means the only company that needs to learn this lesson; they're just the subject of Preston's original post here.

With regard to the size

With regard to the size comparison, you've referenced Windows Vista's size compared to XP's size, what does that have to do with Windows 7? Nothing!

With the user interface, in your blog you admitted the shots were from some russian site and that you dont know if they are real. How can any self-respecting journalist make comments based on information like that?

You say due to the short turnaround on the release that Windows 7 won't be a significant improvement, im guessing you dont quite understand that there is research going on in the background all the time. Windows Vista is obviously not representative of EVERYTHING Microsoft is capable of.

Quite frankly none of your comments support your article title at all.

Vista and Windows 7

I downloaded Windows 7 and it is almost identical to Vista, the wife has Vista on her computer. I do not like Vista and I was disappointed when I saw Windows 7. Those who have Vista will see the same old OS, just a few minor modifications. No bells and Wistles, nothing like what we hear about. If this is the Windows of the future, than I will keep XP Pro, even after they stop giving support, even if it is for school and other things like running a Dazzle DVC 100 external vid card because Vista won't run one. If this is the OS that saves Microsoft, then Microsoft is in big trouble. I hope they listen to the beta testers, otherwise, Microsoft may have a very bg flop on their hands. Maybe Ubuntu is the way to go, who knows.

Slow news day?

By your own admission, you really have no idea what's in Win7, far less Win8. A trifle early to be making blanket predicitions, don't you think?

Microsoft = monopoly

For example, this comment section works very poorly when used in the Opera Browser. That's because Microsoft is at war with all other browsers.

The standards and features Microsoft make available, when used, will not always be compatible with open Standards compliant software - such as Firefox, or Opera. The playing field would be level: that is not what Microsoft is about.

Microsoft "updates" is the avenue whereby MIcrosoft introduces Microsoft product adaptations - as it discovers them - that further the monopolistic web